The Jaws of Life are Closing

and the biggest shift of wealth in history is upon us...

"By failing to prepare, you are preparing to fail."

Benjamin Franklin

Love me some money pie…

The $83 Trillion Transfer That Could Ignite the Real Estate Market

Here’s the deal: Baby Boomers control $83.3 trillion in wealth. That’s half of all U.S. wealth sitting in the hands of one generation. And they’re not taking it with them.

Over the next 20 years, that pie gets cut and passed down. Who’s eating? Gen X, Millennials, and Gen Z.

And here’s where it gets interesting…

  • Boomers are asset-heavy: homes, land, businesses, stocks.

  • The next generations don’t want to sit on cash—they want to leverage it.

  • What do most people do when they get money? They buy homes, upgrade homes, or invest in property.

This is the most significant wealth transfer in human history. If you think that doesn’t move the real estate market for decades, you’re not paying attention.

Let’s break it down:

  1. Supply is stuck. New housing builds can’t keep up. The U.S. is short 4–5 million homes.

  2. Demand is about to spike. Inheritance = down payments. Families that couldn’t afford a home suddenly can.

  3. Debt is leverage. With more equity, people qualify for bigger loans, creating upward price pressure.

This isn’t a bubble. It’s fuel. A once-in-a-lifetime injection of capital straight into the market that could last 10 - 15 years. We recently had our students game out case studies and strategies on ways to transition parent house equity into their children’s accounts so they could buy real estate now! It was amazing.

Boomers passing wealth means kids buying homes, upgrading homes, and investing in rental properties. And it won’t be a one-year blip. This cycle could last 15–20 years.

The smart money isn’t asking, “Will there be a boom?” The smart money is asking, “How do I position myself to ride the wave?”

  • If you’re an investor, acquire as inventory comes online and financing is attractive for positive cash flow; you can continually improve your cash flow as rates decrease.

  • If you’re an agent: Build relationships with heirs—inheritance = motivation to advance that wealth and see their kids enjoy it now.

  • If you’re in the financial advice game: Create new strategies and identify new partnerships designed for generational wealth transfer.

This isn’t speculation. The wealth is already there. The transfer is inevitable. We can’t cheat death and money flows down the genetic lines.

The only question is:

Are you ready to catch it, or are you going to let it pass you by? How big is your capacity to grow and support this trend?

a BORROW SMART CONCEPT
The Jaws Are Closing - Shark Week Soon?

The Jaws Are Closing

Look at the chart. Rates (black line) sit up top like the predator. Demand (red and green lines) has been crushed, suppressed, and hiding under the waterline.

But here’s the thing: the jaws are closing.

When rates come down even a little, the effect on demand isn’t linear—it’s compounding. Buyers who were waiting on the sidelines suddenly jump in. Refinancers who have trapped at high rates start calculating savings again. Sentiment shifts, then spreads like wildfire.

That’s why the jaws are dangerous. It’s not just “rates down, demand up.” It’s rates down + psychology + scarcity = exponential pressure.

Every tick lower in rates widens affordability, which sparks more contracts, which raises comps, which fuels more demand. It’s like interest compounding on itself—but this time it’s human behavior compounding.

Most people won’t be ready for the snap. They’ll wait for the headlines. They’ll react instead of anticipate. And by the time they move, the opportunity will already be bid up. There are fewer lenders now to service that business.

The Boy Scout motto here is simple: Be prepared. If you’ve been following us, this is all we’ve done for the last two years… prepare.

If you’re a potential buyer, have financing lined up. If you’re an investor, sharpen your criteria now. If you’re a financial advisor, coach your clients on what’s coming and make sure you have a great partner ready to support. Because when the jaws close, you don’t get time to think—you either act, or you get swallowed by the demand shark and wonder why you weren’t ready for it.

LIABILITIES
What’s Happening?

rates are coming down as volatility contracts (MOVE) and long end supports

MOVE continues down, that lowes the risk spread and supports lower rates ahead

the market is the economy now, and lower rates tend to be a positive for markets

HCA accounts are being used more and more for investing - have you looked into this strategy? I’ve heard of young people max funding their HCA, then 401(k) and rest into real estate.

REAL ESTATE
What’s Happening?

Most of these from @mikesimonsen - Compass

“Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.”

Seneca

ASSETS
What’s Happening?

shift to more conservative defensive while still supporting TECHnology

money seems to buy happiness

another lens of the gap

you can see wehre the value is, Real Estate and Healthcare

cool look at what performs and what hasn’t

cash going up means wealthy have more money than they know what to do with, or that they are nervous about the future

passive market investing drives everything

the value of being IN THE MARKET

these are single stock FUNDs - we’ve been talking about them in our Wealth Group

getting more excited about digital money

ON BEING HUMAN
What’s Worth Sharing?

real estate sentiment is improving, overall is not

one reason is my cost to zone out keeps going up!

"You drown not by falling into a river, but by staying submerged in it."

Paulo Coelho - Source: Manual of the Warrior of Light

DOPAMEMES
And Other Happy Moments…

warning explicit language :-)

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